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Subsidence Outlook

Met Office data

Date: 10 July, 2017

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Met Office MORECS Data
Met Office MORECS Data

The Met Office provide MORECS data which is a “nationwide product giving modelled data of rainfall, evaporation and soil moisture” and we have been keeping an eye on this following a dryer than average winter and spring, alongside the recent heatwave. As can be seen in the table, this year is following the moisture deficit pattern of the last “surge” subsidence year in 2006 and is ahead of other dry years in 1995 and 2003. Some commentators are drawing comparisons between this summer and the extremely dry summer of 1976!

Obviously the weather could change at any time but if the pattern of lower than average rainfall continues through July and August, subsidence claim numbers are expected to rise dramatically, until year end.

The GHG Subsidence Division has been the cornerstone of GHG for 22 years and as always is prepared for this eventuality with a surge plan in place which includes increased engineering capacity in the South East, out of normal hours working, additional site investigation crews, office based technical support and senior management ready to step into the breach if require.

If you would like to find out more information on our subsidence product please contact our Subsidence Technical Manager at mark.lacy@highgroup.co.uk

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